Skip to main content
Zoom the image with the mouse

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't

by

3 order in last 10 hour
Publisher: BookPal, LLC
Product Name: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't
Language: English
Format: Paperback
Publication Date: 02/03/2015 00:00
ISBN: 0143125087
Pages: 560
ISBN: 9780143125082
List Price: $18.00
Special Offers Available
Free shipping on orders over $95
Buy one with 1% offer on sale price
Buy New
Format Details
Paperback
Hurry! Only left
Image coming soon
As low as $18.00

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't

BookPal, LLC

We can help you leverage the power of books

Customer Service

Connect with a dedicated account manager who is there every step of the way.

Price Match Guarantee

If you see better pricing elsewhere on your desired quantity, we will price match so you can be sure to get the best pricing.

Free Shipping

Enjoy free ground shipping on your order of $95 or more!

Brand New Guarantee

We only sell books that are brand new and protect that with a guarantee.

Customization

From author signatures to marketing inserts, custom packaging to brand stickers, we can help take your book marketing to the next level.

Learn more about ordering
Details
Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger—all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.com. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good—or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary—and dangerous—science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver’s insights are an essential read. The book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't [Bulk, Wholesale, Quantity] ISBN# 9780143125082 in Paperback by Silver, Nate may be ordered in bulk quantities. Minimum starts at 25 copies. Availability based on publisher status and quantity being ordered.

The book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't [Order Bulk Books, Wholesale, Quantity Discount] with ISBN# 9780143125082 in Paperback by may be ordered bulk quantities. Minimum orders start at 25 copies.

Product details

Product Name: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't
Format: Paperback
Product Name: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't
Format: Paperback

GMA connects authors, speakers, and talent with the right people at the right time.

Learn More

Customer Reviews